Monday, October 3, 2016

House of “Kaadu”


By Ali Assad

What every Maldivian household relies on is the subsidised essentials of “Kaadu” - flour, rice & sugar.

Without doubt the sudden removal of subsidies from the above goods has raised eyebrows within the government and created opportunities for opposition to rally against the government.

The big question is “Is removing subsidies a good policy or a bad move?”

Politically it is suicidal for the government, especially at a time when local counsel campaign is looming ahead. Enforcing an unpopular but essential policy for betterment of the whole nation and its future, is the job of a leader but not what every leader does because it might mean placing your political career at risk. So what’s the catch?

Let’s dive deeper and look into the reality more closely.

Maldives started in the ranks of the 20 poorest countries and since then, we have been receiving subsidies and other special grants from friendly wealthy countries and organizations. Malnourished children with bloated stomachs and protruding belly buttons, especially in the local islands, is a faint memory that few will remember.

We have jumped the hurdle of underdeveloped countries and passed the benchmark line of progress to become a developing nation.

Is this a time to beg for a meal or proudly stand up on our feet?

It is almost ironically funny that we should be subsidizing food when you look at the line of Maldivians queueing to purchase iPhone 7.

Definitely, we cannot be feeding subsidised food to a huge population of expatriate workers, foreign businessman and tourists. Should we give targeted subsidies to roughly about 15000 Maldivians living below the poverty line, as per UNDP and our statistics or share it equally - even with the resort owner? As you will agree, it is not only absurd to give handouts to the rich but also ridiculous to divide handouts equally with the rich and the poor.

The ideal and best solution is managing our livelihood without subsidies. So is this the right time to cut subsidies? Should we cut subsidies slowly in phases during a targeted time period to minimize any shock to the economy and reduce any indirect difficulties to the people? Government has partly reduced the subsidised amount but is it too much and too soon?

Tough questions. Making subsidies available to the poor is solving the easy part of the puzzle.

The difficulty is what will be the larger impact on the economy and the domino effects of such a policy.

Undoubtedly, cost of most food products will increase leading to a price hike. Will this be a temporary inflation? Will the increase in prices reduce our purchasing power ultimately causing a stable reduction in the inflation percent? Will the reduction in purchasing power have a healthy impact in decreasing dollar shortage? 

Whatever the outcome, cutting subsidies is definitely something highly recommended by the experts in the International Monetary Fund.

Maldives should not become another Greece, where the heavy dependence on handouts and subsidies was the main reason for the countries economical downfall. Not to mention similar problems faced by Italy and France.

For critics of this policy, my question is what is worse, cutting subsidies or the boycott and smear campaigns against Maldives by the opposition? That is not including the call for sanctions and oppositions’ push to place country in CMAG’s agenda through their powerful contacts in UK Conservative Party and other such wealthy contacts like Richard Branson, founder of Virgin Group, who is dedicated to the oppositions’ cause.

Money earned by the government should be well spent on future generations. We can’t always afford to live with the mind set of ‘business as usual’. The government’s current spending on capital or Public Sector Investment Projects (PSIP) have doubled to 40% of the budget. Also number of local islands having access to clean water, proper sanitation facilities and renewable energy have more than doubled. The number one problem faced by Maldivians is housing and the housing projects announced and underway are more than all the previous government’s housing projects put together.

So is the deck of stories of unchecked inflation, food shortages, country getting bankrupt and other unrealistic fiction just an exaggerated facade of lies built up by the opposition that in reality will fall and blow away like a house of cards?